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NEW YORK — The dollar surpassed the
symbolic level of 150 yen for the first time since 1990 on
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Thursday, while the British pound turned negative in choppy
trading after Liz Truss said she would resign as the United
Kingdom’s prime minister.
The Japanese currency dipped sharply from an interim high of
150.09 reached in overnight trading, tumbling to 149.63 within a
minute, which raised speculation that the Ministry of Finance
and Bank of Japan might be making stealth interventions at key
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levels.
The yen rebounded to hit new 32-year highs in
afternoon trading in New York, however, getting as high as
150.25. It last traded at 150.18.
While the likelihood of any intervention is an open
question, some analysts think that such a move would not stop
the currency from weakening further absent a shift in the Bank
of Japan’s ultra-dovish policy.
“Until you see either the BOJ change their tune, or if we
start to see the U.S. economic outlook deteriorate a lot quicker
that will help the Fed finally deliver that Fed pivot, you’re
going to see that the bet against the yen is still the favorite
trade in FX,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA
in New York.
The Federal Reserve is expected to continue raising interest
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rates as inflation remains stubbornly high, with some
forecasting its benchmark overnight interest rate to peak above
5%. The rate is currently in the 3.00%-3.25% range.
Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said on Thursday
the central bank is not done with raising its short-term rate
target amid very high levels of inflation, while adding it was
likely the U.S. central bank will find space next year to pause
the tightening process and take stock of how its rate increases
are impacting the economy.
The housing market has been one of the most affected sectors
from higher rates even as other sectors including jobs remain
solid. Data on Thursday showed that sales of existing U.S. homes
slid for an eighth straight month in September.
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Expectations of higher rates have sent U.S. yields and the
dollar higher, particularly against the yen as the BOJ is
committed to keeping interest rates near zero.
Japanese policymakers made fresh threats of intervention on
Thursday. They are seen as more likely to step in if currency
moves become more erratic.
“The (Ministry of Finance) has been very clear that they are
ready to intervene if there is any disorderly price action, so
the markets are priced for that coming at some point in time,”
said Derek Halpenny, European global markets research head at
MUFG.
“Obviously, if we break clearly above 150 we may see some
disorderly price action and that could be the catalyst for some
action,” he added, though emphasizing it would take a sharp move
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in the pair to trigger intervention.
The BOJ will hold its next policy meeting on Oct. 27-28.
The British pound turned lower on the day after Truss said
she would resign as prime minister. She was brought down by the
announcement of an economic program that sent shockwaves through
the markets and divided her Conservative Party just six weeks
after she was appointed.
The pound rallied ahead of the resignation announcement, and
later hit session highs, before changing course and turning
lower. It was last down 0.05% on the day at $1.1219.
“Initially, this is likely to take an uncertainty premium
out of the market, but it depends who takes over, you need a
steady hand at the top,” said Viraj Patel, global macro
strategist at Vanda Research in London.
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The dollar index dipped 0.10% against a basket of major
currencies to 112.86, which analysts said was likely due
to consolidation. The euro gained 0.13% to $0.9785.
========================================================
Currency bid prices at 3:03PM (1903 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Dollar index 112.8600 112.9800 -0.10% 17.977% +113.0900 +112.1600
Euro/Dollar $0.9785 $0.9772 +0.13% +0.00% +$0.9846 +$0.9755
Dollar/Yen 150.1800 149.9100 +0.19% +0.00% +150.2400 +149.5500
Euro/Yen 146.95 146.49 +0.31% +0.00% +147.2900 +146.2500
Dollar/Swiss 1.0041 1.0046 -0.04% +0.00% +1.0068 +0.9996
Sterling/Dollar $1.1219 $1.1223 -0.05% +0.00% +$1.1336 +$1.1172
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Dollar/Canadian 1.3769 1.3762 +0.06% +0.00% +1.3806 +1.3651
Aussie/Dollar $0.6279 $0.6271 +0.15% +0.00% +$0.6356 +$0.6229
Euro/Swiss 0.9826 0.9816 +0.10% +0.00% +0.9851 +0.9812
Euro/Sterling 0.8719 0.8710 +0.10% +0.00% +0.8757 +0.8675
NZ $0.5674 $0.5677 -0.03% +0.00% +$0.5741 +$0.5624
Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway 10.6530 10.6315 +0.17% +0.00% +10.6700 +10.5500
Euro/Norway 10.4248 10.3666 +0.56% +0.00% +10.4451 +10.3585
Dollar/Sweden 11.2622 11.2076 +0.61% +0.00% +11.2835 +11.1600
Euro/Sweden 11.0216 10.9549 +0.61% +0.00% +11.0331 +10.9515
(Additional reporting by Alun John and Samuel Indyk in London,
Editing by William Maclean and Paul Simao)
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