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FIFA World Cup Scenarios: How teams can reach the last 16?

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France on Saturday became the first team to qualify for FIFA World Cup 2022 last 16 stage after a 2-1 win over Denmark in the Group D match. But 15 more spots are still up for grabs.

FIFA World Cup: Fixtures | Results | Points Table | Squads | Records

We take a look at the scenarios for each group in the FIFA World Cup 2022 and what the teams need to reach the last 16.

Teams in Groups A, B, C and D have already played two matches each. Teams in Groups E, F, G and H are still to play two more games.

Group A

Remaining fixtures
Tuesday: Ecuador vs Senegal, Netherlands vs Qatar

Hosts Qatar are already out of the tournament with two back-to-back defeats.

The Netherlands are up against Qatar in their last group game and a win or a draw will be enough for them to reach the last 16.

Ecuador will qualify with a win or tie against Senegal.

Senegal has to beat Ecuador to reach last 16 or else they will be out.

Group B

Remaining fixtures
Wednesday: Iran vs United States, Wales vs England

England need a win or a tie against Wales to reach the last 16. They can qualify even after losing as they have a +4 goal difference.

Iran need a win against the USA to qualify. They can also reach last 16 with a tie but in this case, Wales should not beat England or at least should have an inferior goal difference to Iran.

The USA must beat Iran to reach the last 16. Any other result would see them get eliminated.

Wales first need to beat England to be in the reckoning and would still depend on the result from Iran vs USA game.

Group C

Remaining fixtures
Thursday: Poland vs Argentina, Saudi Arabia vs Mexico

Polan need a win or a tie against Argentina to qualify. They can be in contention even after a loss unless Saudi Arabia beat Mexico.

Argentina will qualify by beating Poland. A draw will take the qualification to goal difference margin unless Saudi Arabia beat Mexico. A defeat will see Argentina get eliminated.

FIFA World Cup Knockout Scenarios How teams can reach the last 16

Lionel Messi scored Argentina’s opener in the 64th minute. AP

Saudi Arabia qualify with a win over Mexico. It can also qualify with a tie if Poland beat Argentina or Poland-Argentina play out a draw and Saudi Arabia maintain a gold difference strong enough to qualify. If Argentina beat Poland and Saudi Arabia draw against Mexico, then the Asian team will need a stronger goal difference than Poland to qualify.

Mexico can qualify by beating Saudi Arabia if Poland also beat Argentina. If Mexico win and Argentina beat Poland, then the goal difference will decide their fate. A draw or a tie will see Mexico get eliminated.

Group D

Remaining fixtures
Wednesday: Australia vs Denmark, Tunisia vs France

France are already into last 16 with a game to go.

Australia can’t lose against Denmark else they will be out. They will qualify with a win. In case of a draw, Australia will qualify unless Tunisia beat France and have a better goal difference than Australia

Denmark will qualify with a win over Australia unless Tunisia beat France and have a better goal difference than Denmark.

Tunisia can qualify if they beat France and Australia don’t win against Denmark. They will still need to have a better goal difference.

Group E

Remaining fixtures
Friday: Costa Rica vs Germany, Japan vs Spain

Spain need a draw vs Japan to qualify. They qualify with a loss as well if Costa Rica and Germany play out a draw and Spain don’t lose by 13 goals. Spain will be out if they lose and Costa Rica win.

In case Spain lose and Germany win, the second place will be decided on the basis of goal difference.

Japan cannot qualify with a defeat but a win will see them through. If both Japan and Costa Rica win, the table topper will be decided on goal difference.

But if Japan can only draw against Spain, then they are guaranteed of qualifying if Costa Rica also draw vs Germany. If Japan draw and Costa Ric win then Japan are out.

If Japan play a draw and Germany win then the second place will be decided on goal difference.

Costa Rica are guaranteed of qualifying with a win vs Germany. If they play a draw, they can still be guaranteed of qualifying if Japan also lose. If Japan beat Spain then the goal difference has to be very huge for Costa Rica to finish second over Spain.

Costa Rica cannot qualify with a defeat or if both matches end in a draw.

Germany must beat Costa Rica to have a chance of qualifying. If Spain win their match, Germany will qualify with a win.

If Germany win and Spain lose,  Germany will need a far superior goal difference to Spain to qualify. Spain has a goal difference of +7.

If Germany beat Costa Rica but Spain draw with Japan, then the second spot will be decided on goal differential between Germany and Japan.

FIFA World Cup Knockout Scenarios How teams can reach the last 16

Eden Hazard and Belgium will hope to have a deep run in the FIFA World Cup. AP

Group F

Remaining fixtures
Thursday: Canada vs Morocco, Croatia vs Belgium

Croatia qualifies with a win or draw vs Belgium. In case they lose and Canada beat Morocco, the second place will be decided between Croatia and Morocco on goal difference.

Morocco will reach the last 16 with a win or draw vs Canada. Will also qualify if Croatia beat Belgium.

If Morocco lose to Canada and Belgium beat Croatia then the second place will be decided on goal difference between Croatia and Morocco. If Morocco lose to Canada and Belgium and Croatia play a draw then the second place will be decided on the goal difference between Belgium and Morocco.

Belgium will qualify if they beat Croatia. if it’s a draw then Belgium will not qualify if Morocco beat or draw vs Canada.

Canada are out of the tournament with a game to go.

Group G

Remaining fixtures
Monday: Cameroon vs Serbia
Monday: Brazil vs Switzerland
Saturday: Cameroon vs Brazil, Serbia vs Switzerland

Brazil will reach last 16 with a win over Switzerland if Serbia beat Cameroon or play out a draw.

Switzerland will reach last 16 with a win over Brazil if Cameroon beat Serbia or play out a draw.

Serbia will be out with a loss if Brazil win or draw. Cameroon will be out with a loss if Switzerland win or draw.

Group H

Remaining fixtures
Monday: South Korea vs Ghana
Tuesday: Portugal vs Uruguay
Friday: Ghana vs Uruguay, South Korea vs Portugal

Portugal will qualify with a win vs Uruguay and Ghana will be out with a loss against South Korea.

South Korea and Uruguay cannot qualify or be eliminated on Matchday 2 of Group H.

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