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U.S. Jobless Claims Fall in Tight Labor Market

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New applications for unemployment benefits in the U.S. fell last week to historic lows as employers held on to their workers in the midst of a labor shortage.

Initial jobless claims, a proxy for layoffs, decreased by 28,000 to a seasonally adjusted 187,000 last week, the Labor Department said Thursday. That was slightly below a level last seen in December, and the lowest level for initial claims since September 1969. The four-week average, which smooths out volatility in the numbers, decreased by 11,500 to 211,750.

Continuing claims, a measure of the total number of people on the unemployment rolls through regular state programs, moved down to 1.35 million for the week ended March 12 from 1.42 million the previous week. Continuing claims are reported with a one-week lag.

Roughly half a million fewer people were in the labor force in February than before the pandemic, according to the Labor Department, despite the economy’s rapid recovery. That has left employers struggling to fill open positions.

In January, the latest month for which data is available, there were nearly 11.3 million open positions, down slightly from December’s record 11.4 million openings.

By contrast there were only about 6.3 million unemployed people in February, according to the department.

“That’s a very, very tight labor market, tight to an unhealthy level, I would say,” said Federal Reserve Chairman

Jerome Powell,

speaking to reporters following the Fed’s March 16 meeting.

The Fed raised interest rates by a quarter-percentage point to between 0.25% and 0.5% at that meeting and projected moving its policy rate to close to 2% by the end of the year in an attempt to cool inflation, which has been accelerating at the fastest pace in 40 years.

Mr. Powell said he believed officials could raise rates while maintaining a vibrant labor market.

“We feel like the economy can handle tighter monetary policy,” he said.

But a rapid rise in interest rates risks sending the economy into a downturn and harming the labor market, said

Joshua Shapiro,

chief U.S. economist at MFR, Inc.

Fed officials “are beginning to realize the hole they’ve dug for themselves and what a difficult tightrope walk it’s going to be to try to squeeze inflation without causing something to crack,” he said.

The monthly jobs report reveals key indicators about the labor market and the overall state of the economy, but it doesn’t show the entire picture. WSJ explains how to read the report, what it shows and what it doesn’t. Photo illustration: Liz Ornitz

Write to David Harrison at [email protected]

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