Credit Suisse, Citi cut 2022 year-end target for S&P 500

Credit Suisse cut its target for the benchmark index by about 10% to 3,850 points on Monday, citing the impact of rising interest rates and slowing economic growth on third-quarter earnings.

Citigroup trimmed its year-end target by a more modest 4% to 4,000.

The S&P 500 has shed about 25.6% from its all-time peak of 4,818.62 hit in early January. It closed at 3,585.62 on Friday and has been in a bear market for most of this year along with its other two main peers.

For 2023 year-end, however, Credit Suisse expects a near 13% upside from current levels in the index and has set a target of 4,050 points.

It said 2023 would be a year of weak, non-recessionary growth and falling inflation.

“We expect a reversal of spreads and volatility, leading to 1-2x multiple points of rerating through year-end. By contrast, 2023 returns should be driven primarily by earnings growth,” Credit Suisse analyst Jonathan Golub said.

Citigroup, on the other hand, expects the index to end 2023 at 3,900 points.

“A gradual shift in the Fed’s rate policy during H1 2023 provides valuation support to U.S. equities,” the brokerage said.

Last month, Goldman Sachs cut its year-end 2022 target for the S&P 500 by about 16% to 3,600 points, as the U.S. Federal Reserve shows little signs of stepping back from its aggressive rate-hike stance